I'll take Adam Wainwright over Mat Latos any day of the week in this spot. Wainwright has more days rest and he's pitching at home where he has an ERA under 3 combined over the last 4 seasons. He also has better xFIP numbers this year and against the Reds hitters in general holding them to .198 average and .565 OPS. Cinic has struggled vs RHP batting just .225 on the year, but on the road they are hitting just .192 and scoring 3.25 runs per 9 along with their 6.92 BULLPEN ERA.
Latos on the other hand has not pitched well at Busch Stadium. Over his last 5 starts here he's given up 25 ER in just 22 IP. Cards have a .321 average and a .878 OPS against Mat Latos and are scoring 5.92 runs per 9 vs RHP at home on the year. They also are 52-24 in their last 76 home meetings with the Reds.
